Solar Flare Forecast
Updates: Hourly
Last update: 05:00 UT 17-Jan-2026
Last update: 05:00 UT 17-Jan-2026
M (R1-R2)
50%
X (R3-R5)
5%
Solar Flare Probabilities
| Region | ≥ M1 | ≥ X1 |
| full disk | 50% | 5% |
| 4336 | <1% | <1% |
| 4340 | <1% | <1% |
| 4341 | 30% | 5% |
| 4342 | 10% | <1% |
| 4343 | 15% | <1% |
| 4344 | <1% | <1% |
| 4345 | 1% | <1% |
| 4346 | <1% | <1% |
| 4347 | <1% | <1% |
Solar flare forecasts are also available through the WMO Information System (search for "solar flare"; requires registration).
See the Australian Space Weather Alert System (ASWAS) for a description of the R (radio blackout) scale.
For more information on the solar flare forecast please visit the Solar Help Page.
