Solar Flare Forecast
Updates: Hourly
Last update: 20:00 UT 07-Dec-2025
Last update: 20:00 UT 07-Dec-2025
M (R1-R2)
70%
X (R3-R5)
15%
Solar Flare Probabilities
| Region | ≥ M1 | ≥ X1 |
| full disk | 70% | 15% |
| 4294 | 30% | 5% |
| 4295 | <1% | <1% |
| 4296 | 55% | <1% |
| 4298 | <1% | <1% |
| 4299 | 10% | 10% |
| 4300 | <1% | <1% |
| 4301 | <1% | <1% |
Solar flare forecasts are also available through the WMO Information System (search for "solar flare"; requires registration).
See the Australian Space Weather Alert System (ASWAS) for a description of the R (radio blackout) scale.
For more information on the solar flare forecast please visit the Solar Help Page.



